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14:00 Lingfield
Ravensbourne 7/2 Bet365, 3/1 WHill, 888
1 point win
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Ravensbourne ran with credit over this course and distance 18 days ago and looks a solid contender here with a repeat performance. That effort marked her stable debut for Michael Keady following a switch from Hilal Kobeissi, and it hinted she won’t be long in getting off the mark for her new yard.
Midfield in the early stages, she didn’t get the clearest of runs when the race developed in the straight. However, once she was out of the pocket, she ran on well for third, finishing with purpose but unable to threaten the front-running winner. That performance earned her a Paceform Figure of 77, the best last-time-out figure on offer in this field and one that warrants upgrading given the circumstances.
The addition of first-time blinkers could help extract further improvement, and as a 3-year-old, she may have more potential to progress than her mainly older, more exposed rivals. Jockey Andrea Pinna takes a useful 7 pounds off her back, and all things considered, Ravensbourne looks like a value win bet.
18:30 Wolves
Manton Road 6/5 PPower, 888, 10/3 Sky, Betfair Sport
1 point win
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Manton Road won by 0.75 lengths a week ago but was value for more than the official margin. Held up in rear over 7 furlongs at Newcastle, he travelled strongly and looked full of running as the race developed. As rivals kicked for home, he found himself trapped behind a wall of horses, and his winning chance looked to be slipping away. Once switched wide, he quickened smartly to reel in the leader and win going away. Without the traffic problems, he would likely have won by further, and the performance suggests he can follow up. His Paceform Figure of 73 deserves an upgrade, and stepping up from 7 furlongs to this extended mile shouldn’t be an issue—he won over this course and distance on 1st February. He’s likely to be held up again for a late run, and with two wins from four starts at Wolverhampton, he handles the conditions well. Manton Road looks a solid win bet.
